Last modified on Wed 15 Feb 2023 06.23 EST. Even at that level, clients of LME brokers had failed to pay some $US500 million of margin calls in relation to their short positions on the exchange, says a person familiar with the matter. . Cliff Asness, founder ofAQR Capital Management,accused the LME, which was for more than a century owned by its members but in 2012 was sold to Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing, of stealing money from market participants trading in good faith and giving it to Chinese nickel producers and their banks. LMEs Chamberlain defended canceling the trades. One resolution to the situation may be for Glencore and Xiang to strike a deal to use Glencores long positions to cancel out some of Xiangs short. In the short term, a package of loans from Chinese and international banks will help Tsingshan meet its immediate liquidity squeeze. 115 000 MT. (Yicai Global) March 9 --The chairman of Tsingshan Holding Group, the worlds second-largest nickel producer, said this weeks sky-rocketing prices of the metal have not impacted the Chinese firms operations or positions in the futures market. Those moves sent nickel to a record high of more than $US100,000 ($136,000) a tonne on Tuesday before trading was suspended. Xiangs short position has now racked upbillions of dollars in losses. Tsingshan started building its short position last year in part because Xiang expected a nascent surge in nickel prices to fade, according to people familiar with the matter. In August 2021, Glencore increased its medium-term emission reduction target to a 50% reduction by 2035 on 2019 levels and introduced a new short-term target of a 15% reduction by 2026 on 2019 levels. Formerly called Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, Vale is a diversified multinational metals and mining company founded in 1942, and headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. In this position, you will be responsible for the drafting of sales and purchase contracts and related legal documents. But its obligations dwarfed its available cash and bank credit. A market that many veterans simply describe as "broken." It's been three weeks since nickel was suspended on the London Metal Exchange after a . . Nickel is mainly used in the production of stainless steel because it improves its strength and resistance to corrosion. The LME at the end of the day is a physical metal market, he says. Xiang isnt just a financial trader making paper bets on price moves. Vale is the world's largest producer of nickel, one of the most versatile metals in existence. The company has assured creditor banks in China that its . Some traders and bankers have questioned whether a producer like Tsingshan, which has relatively low production costs and is active in all parts of the supply chain, really needs such a large hedging position. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Si estn subiendo los predios de los metales y dedcuieto nuevas forulasparavas frmulas paraformar y tranformar los metales megustaria encontrar una empresa ,organizacin,para si le interereza ase un tratado denegosiar un trato demostraciones y prbarles yensearleslo que estudie transformaciones aliaciones dijitales y la fabricacionde. 1. Remember, when prices move up, traders like Xiang who have sold futures contracts face margin calls; they must put up more cash to cover potential losses. 1w. Some aggrieved traders are already preparing to take legal action against the exchange. Charged with maximising the value of Glencore's physical nickel assets across the global portfolio through supporting collaboration efforts to manage risk and improve operability and performance. 2W - 6W. The head of one London metals brokerage recalls feeling sick as he watched the moves, realising what the spike in prices would mean for his company, the market, and the global metals industry. Cobalt. Discovery of the deposits is credited to Murray Edmund Watts in 1931 or 1932. The dollar hit a one-week low earlier Wednesday after China's yuan gained. While investors who sell stocks short want the price to drop, in commodity markets many producers, traders, and users take short positions as a hedge against losses on the physical commodities they hold in inventories. The LME made a near-unprecedented decision. Related Article: Nickel price spike purely financial but Tsingshan effect could linger. #GlencoreCopper #MetalOfTheFuture https://lnkd.in/eEqPmJn9. 92 132 MT. As the trend towards e-mobility grows, this versatile metal is increasingly needed to produce high-performance batteries. Baar, Switzerland 29 July 2022. Why? WATCH: The Chinese tycoon, known as Big Shot in commodities circles is said to be facing billions of losses. Neither party seems very keen on this idea, however. Activity . By now, the entire nickel industry was in crisis. All prices are listed in Australian Dollars. Nickel prices surged to an all-time high on Tuesday, up roughly 250% in just two days, and forcing the London Metal Exchange to close trading. Perhaps what's most surprising is that this nickel squeeze happened within a market that had, for the last few years, been comparatively sedate, with rangebound trading rarely breaking above the $20,000/metric tonne (mt) mark on the upside before 2022. 2017 - 2018 Yicai Global, Yicai Media Group. We had a frenzy based on speculation that accelerated on Monday and Tuesday. 20 kt/a nickel in concentrate) and Fraser Morgan (ca. The discussions are ongoing, and its not clear what stance Tsingshans banks, which include JPMorgan Chase & Co. and China Construction Bank, will take. Soaring coal and metal prices powered Swiss mining and trading firm Glencore to a net income of $5 billion in 2021, a notable recovery from its $1.9 billion loss in 2020. Xiangs short position has now racked up billions of dollars in losses. MMC Norilsk Nickel Recent Development 11.3 Glencore 11.3.1 Glencore Company Detail 11.3.2 Glencore Business Overview 11.3.3 Glencore Nickel Mining . In late February and early March, Tsingshan, which had sales of 352 billion yuan ($56 billion) last year, paid its margin calls on time. Its participants are a mix of the industrial metals companies, which tap the market to offset their price risks, and hedge funds, which use it to speculate. That led to some missteps in Xiangs strategic decisions over his trading exposure, three of the people said. Summary. By now, Tsingshan wasnt the only nickel company that was strugglingjust the biggest. As Russias invasion of Ukraine pushed up prices, short-position holders including Tsingshan scrambled to trim their bets. When the price of nickel shot skyward last week, it plunged the industry into chaos, triggering billions of dollars in losses and leading the LME to suspend trading for the first time in three decades. He draws a comparison with Silver Thursday, the day in 1980 when an attempt bythe Hunt brothersto corner the silver market came unstuck. Nickelcopper ores have been mined there since 1928. Coal Department. Miners, traders, and manufacturers often use the market to make short bets that is, to make money when prices fall. 92 000 MT. Its also one of the most important raw materials needed inmaking batteriesfor electric vehicles. INF News.com. Tsingshan mostlymakesstainless steelthat isused inthepetroleum, chemicals, auto,and other fields. Company says it puts it into the league of the largest undeveloped nickel deposits in the world. Excellent coverage of an earth-shaking event. Four or five of the brokerages that are LME members would have failed, a shock that could have devastated the global metals industry. Our analysis assumes the development of Onaping Deeps with production commencing in 2021 at a capital cost of $750 million. When prices rose above $20,000 he would consider shorting nickel, the people said, because his production costs in Indonesia were as low as $10,000 a ton. Your email address will not be published. Some think this could herald the end of the exchange itself. LME brokers and their clients were hit with margin call after margin call. 485,996 followers. Report this profile Report Report. In theory, any price changes on the futures market should offset price changes in the value of the inventoriesas long as the traders canmeet their margin calls. Tsingshan Holding Group was looking at an $8 billion trading loss after nickel prices soared, The Wall Street Journal reported Tuesday . Some hedge funds were buying nickel contracts in a bet on the electric vehicle boom. The prices that were being seen during that Asian session were becoming disconnected from, I believe, physical reality.. Glencore's Koniambo mine is located in New Caledonia, mining nickel in this French territory in the South Pacific. But Xiang must now decide what to do with those positions, which give him outsize influence on the price of a metal used in everything from electric-vehicle batteries to stainless-steel kitchen appliances. Including positions on the London Metal Exchange and bilateral bets with banks, Xiang still has short holdings in the region of 150,000 tons, the people said. 5 000 MT. The company had a further 120,000 tons or more in short positions off the exchange, in bilateral deals with such banks as JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Standard Chartered Plc. It marked the first major market failure sinceRussias invasion of Ukrainejolted global markets, showing how the removal of one of the worlds largest exporters of resources from the financial system in the space of weeks is having ripple effects across the world. While few observers believed Xiang could reach that level of production, he was confident. Report summary. Overseas market players have made some moves, Xiang said, driving up nickel prices in the last two days. Rio Tinto, the world's second-largest mining company by market capitalization, last week said it would lift annual capital investment to as much as $10 billion in 2024 and 2025, up around 25% on . The seeds of the epic short squeeze were sown last year, when nickel, like all commodities, was rallying from its Covid-era low. Xiang was aware of flaws in his strategy, people familiar with the matter said. Back Submit. However, Xiang believed the risks to be manageable, the people said, even as an unidentified nickel stockpiler controlled at least half of the inventories on the exchange. . LME chief executive Matthew Chamberlain had stayed up to watch. That put Tsingshans banks and brokers, which includeJPMorgan Chase,BNP Paribas, andStandard Chartered,in a bind. Its not just a casino. Copper. Most market participants expect nickel prices to come back down once the crisis around Xiangs position has been resolved. As Russias invasion of Ukraine pushed up prices, short-position holders including Tsingshan scrambled to trimtheir bets. Tsingshan Group placed a short nickel order, and the matter of being shorted by the opponent was brushed off. Investors who had booked trades during the chaotic session in the early hours of Tuesday were furious. Nickel prices, however, has been moving in an uptrend for a long time. Matthew Chamberlain, the LMEs chief executive officer, had stayed up to watch. (This account of events in the nickel market is based on dozens of interviews with people involved, many of whom requested anonymity because the matters are private.). , Mar 23, 2022. Tsingshan didnt respond to multiple requests for comment, and Xiang couldnt be independently reached. The Nikkelverk Operations. The nickel market was anything but calm. Xiang himself had little interest in international news, the people said, and the growing speculation over a possible war was hard to track in China. He was awakened by a phone call at 5:30 a.m. He blamed foreigners making some moves for nickels price spike in an interview with Chinese news outlet Yicai. Inability to deliver the products was a big problem for Tsingshan, the analyst added, noting that the company has nickel iron, stainless steel, and nickel matte but noelectrolytic nickel, which is the type traded on the LME. In turn, the extraction of precious metals by the company in 2021, i.e. The company paid at least some of its margin calls early on Monday, according to a person familiar with the matter. At the current price of nickel, the brokers themselves wouldnt be able to pay their margin calls, they told the LME. Others in the market may also push up prices anticipating that short covering. 2023 Glacier Media Group, All Rights Reserved. Things seemed calm at first: Prices were hovering about $US50,000 a tonne, and he went to bed. While few observers believed Xiang could reach that level of production, he was confident. Things seemed calm at first: Prices were hovering around $50,000 a ton, and he went to bed. . Major international companies like BHP Group Ltd. and Rio Tinto Plc hedge against currencies, commodity prices and interest rates on an as required basis. . By now, Tsingshan wasnt the only nickel company that was struggling, just the biggest. Still, contracts on the LME are backed by physical metal in a network of warehouses around the world, providing a direct link with the real-world metals industry. . 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