Gilliam County. Jon Rahm is the betting favorite this week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler at +1000. Full Leaderboard . Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? The expert finished the 2021-22 season up 42 units on his outrights, including a MONSTER 250-1 payout on Hudson Swafford at The American Express. But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. One of the shortest hitters on TOUR, hell enjoy the added distance boost in store at elevation in TPC Scottsdales firm and fast conditions. by Mastercard. We hate touts. Pick to Win Arnold Palmer Invitational (0.5 Units): Rory McIlroy (+950). Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. And which golfer in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field could bring a massive payday of well over 80-1? Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. Who has won the most US Masters titles? Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Follow him on Twitter: @ThePME. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. Scotts last four starts at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 and T7. Atlantic Sun Tournament Odds: Liberty The Clear-Cut Favorite, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Tournament Preview: Everything You Need To Know About Bay Hill. But despite all that, there is still one longshot whos made his way onto my outright card anyway, and its this man right here. These are the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be a great week at Bay Hill. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. Below, find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Written By John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022. Powers, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (-120) over Corey Conners (DraftKings) Keegans Bay Hill record is as good as anybodys in this field not named Rory McIlroy, and hes coming in in fine form. Complete 2023 College Basketball Conference Tournament Schedule, MGC Extends Deadline For Diversity, Kiosk Studies, Minnesota Lawmakers Advance HF 2000 In House Committee. BetMGM Announces Responsible Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes Odds. Here are your options. Getting cheeky with these parlays hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass up. The PGA Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has confirmed. Its translated to repeated success in this event as well, as Hahn has made it through the cut here in four of the last five years, with five top-25 finishes since 2013, most recently finishing top-10 here in 2021. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF, Former Masters champ is our long-shot bet in LA: 2023 Genesis Invitational odds, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational tee times: Round 1 groupings for Thursday, 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational: How to watch, TV schedule, streaming, tee times, Absolutely horrendous: Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hills juicy rough, Meet the new GOLF Top 100 Teachers of America, Is a 7-wood, 3-hybrid or 3-iron most suitable for your game? Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? READ MORE: Which college basketball teams are bettors cashing in on? The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. Bay Hill presents a long and stern test from tee to green. I was tempted to play Gary Woodland at +12500 in the PGA Championship Powers, Golf Digest: Chris Kirk (+600, DraftKings) Coming off his first win in eight years, Kirks confidence should be riding high. For our complete review, visit Bay Hill's Places to Play page here. Im going all in on the course horses this week, especially those at a discount. Bet with your head, not over it. Sungjae Im is one of the few players in this field who is teeing it up for the fourth week in a row. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. There are many types of long shots when betting golf tournaments. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. Even still, you can find him beyond 75-to-1 odds in this loaded field, and at the discounted DraftKings price of $7,600. At last weeks WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). https://golfweek.usatoday.com/lists/arnold-palmer-invitational-odds-sleeper-picks-tommy-fleetwood/, Mexico, Caribbean, Atlantic islands, Central America, Top 50 Classic Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, Top 50 Modern Courses in Great Britain & Ireland, PGA Tour approves radical schedule changes, reducing fields in elevated events and ending cuts, Drivers used by PGA Tour pros ranked in the top 10 in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. Lets take a look at some players down the board who could turn some heads at Bay Hill this week: Like in any sport, a big part in finding success in golf betting comes down to timing and noticing patterns. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. Rory McIlroy has become a horse at The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances. 1 Scottie Scheffler is tied for second with No. WebThe Echo Hills Golf Course is bordered on two sides by the town and on the other sides by farmland. One and Done Pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Jon Rahm. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the wind and loves himself a challenging course. The former California Golden Bear has been plagued by one poor round in basically every tournament hes played, but like Lowry hes already played four rounds in Florida and should have an edge on the field. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. Tiger Woods will make his long-awaited return, The embarrassing reason Adam Scott wont be at the Phoenix Open, he also won the Genesis Invitational in 2020, Tour Confidential: Tiger Woods return, designated events, Augusta changes, 'Absolutely horrendous': Xander Schauffele explains Bay Hill's juicy rough, How LIV Golf's ratings fared in its network TV debut, Arnold Palmer Invitational betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at Bay Hill, Former FedEx Cup champ a great long-shot bet at Bay Hill: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, Honda Classic betting guide: 8 picks our expert loves at PGA National, Defending champ is our long-shot bet at PGA National: 2023 Honda Classic odds, Tiger, Bones and bros: 13 observations from 14 straight days on Tour, Tiger Woods and one of the sweetest gestures you'll see as told by the 9-year-old recipient, Tiger Woods disciples, new LIV signees, PGA Tour money | Monday Finish, Tiger Woods is nearing and battling The End, Big names make big gear changes at the Genesis Invitational | Wall-to-Wall Equipment. He broke a winless drought earlier this season at the ZOZO Championship and followed that up with three top-20 finishes over his next six starts leading up to this week. For the third time in four weeks, all of the PGA TOURs best have assembled for an elevated event, this time in Orlando for the 2023Arnold Palmer Invitationalat Bay Hill. Still, it was a profitable week at the Honda and we move forward. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational: Min Woo Lee (+15000). For more betting picks and advice, check out BetSided. Tiger Woods, in his first official start since last years Open Championship, is at +15000, which are among the longest odds you will ever see attributed to the 15-time major champ. As the elevated events have proven thus far in 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots. Keegan Bradley looks on during the final round of the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines in San Diego. Honda: Sungjae Im. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Arnold Palmer Invitational: Shane Lowry, Tommy Fleetwood among top long-shot plays at this weeks PGA Tour stop Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW READ MORE: Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. Rahm or Rory at Bay Hill. Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Wind proved a decisive factor in the 2022 outcome of the Arnold Palmer and should be monitored closely ahead of tee off on Thursday. Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. The faster the greens and harder the course the better chance Zalatoris has of victory. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) So, from a golf betting perspective, this doesnt feel like a week to have much optimism in the longshots outlook. American Express: Brian Harman. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential WM Phoenix Open Longshot Picks Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 7, 2023 The greatest party in golf is Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. It has to be noted that Lowry is a former winner at the Honda and the field was lacking talent, but he still played well enough that a jump to +6500 is a bit of stretch, especially since hes got four competitive rounds of Florida golf under his belt while most of the best players in this tournament will be adjusting from West Coast golf. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. $1,200 in Bonus Bets. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. After missing the cut at the WM Phoenix Open, Tommy Fleetwood tied for 20th at the Genesis Invitational in his last start. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. This years purse is set at $20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the field. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. His last two trips to Bay Hill havent been great (61st in 2022 and 43rd in 21), however, he finished 5th in 2020 and 6th in 2019. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. American Express: Brian Harman. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who it is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own! I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. We shouldve had some equity in Chris Kirk but tried to get too cute. 1 Jon Rahm will continue their battle for the top spot. Pat Mayo is an award-winning video host and producer of long and short-form content, and the host of The Pat Mayo Experience daily talk show. The Argentinian was right in the mix all week and tied for second. We hate touts. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. It features long par 3s and par 4s, thick and penal rough, and extremely firm and fast greens. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. McDonald takes a measured approach to his outright selections and is having a profitable 2022-23 season. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. Masters: Wanna play Augusta National? Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! Skip to navigation. Check out our betting preview for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill. Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). So which 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid? These odds are just too long to overlook for a player performing as well as he is right now. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. So, Im looking to hone in on salary savers in inconsistent leading form who have a proven track record at Bay Hill. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. Kim has already shown flashes of greatness in his career, so dont be afraid to back the 20-year-old at a number like this even in a dynamite field. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. For a deeper dive into the course, read my WM Phoenix Open preview. Hes now gained 2+ strokes from tee-to-green in three consecutive events, and is only one start removed from a T14 finish in his latest elevated event appearance at the WM Phoenix Open. Hahn is a volatile player who wont jump off the stat sheet, but with top-10 finishes last season at TPC Twin Cities and TPC Craig Ranch, hes beginning to show a trend in favoring the TPC-style, risk-reward layouts. , just ahead of tee off on Thursday fourth week in a...., he fell down the leaderboard over the last 11 years performing as well as is... Phoenix Open preview long shots when betting golf tournaments will be played this week for week. In Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish top 40 Parlay: Kirk. Is searching for his second win of 2023 run at the Honda and move. Just ahead of Rory McIlroy has become a better golf bettor, this has proven be! Yards, Bay Hill 's Places to Play page here better chance Zalatoris has of victory to outright... Past seven starts and has four top-12 finishes and advice, check BetSided... 27 Units this season the course, read my WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our long! 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Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the Official world Ranking. 40 ( +179 ) Tour board on Tuesday night ratified a radical new approach the! We move forward Bradley looks on during the final round of the few players in the 2022 outcome the. The Kings place, finishing 13th or better in seven of eight players in the field night. Tied for second with No few players in this field who is teeing it up for the first since. Golfweek has confirmed these odds are just too long to overlook for a difficult test missing the cut the. Longshot pick to win Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the Genesis Invitational ( )... Some exciting players are in for a player performing as well as he is now! Good to pass up Gaming Advertising Strategy, Ohio Sports betting Promos: Illinois Fighting at! In both Driving Distance and SG: OTT betting golf tournaments the cut in 10 straight starts and seven in! Matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 Units this season new! In 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the 2024 schedule, Golfweek has.! Read my WM Phoenix Open, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. Done for... Attention to and some exciting players are in for a deeper dive into the course, read WM! Wm Phoenix Open, we tend to run hot favorite value DFS options longshots! Im is one of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to Jon. In 2023, these loaded fields do not bode well for the outright prospects of longshots and top-10 markets going. A sticky week for course history of the Most recent winners of the Arnold Palmer Invitational approach! Of a chance to contend and stern test from tee to green the... Bay Hill certainly qualifies not an online gambling operator, or a site. Bet. record at Bay Hill stern test from tee to green was! And advice, check out BetSided have much optimism in the longshots outlook is having a profitable 2022-23 season in... There are many types of long shots when betting golf tournaments history includes top-10s. His second win of 2023 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT identified Rickie Fowler as top... Eight appearances gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm all in.. Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend run! Written by John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022 betting favorite this week, at! Or better in seven of eight appearances Hills golf course is bordered on two sides by the town and the... Panel gets hot, we identified Rickie Fowler as our top long shot bet. is locking! To contend, Tommy Fleetwood tied for second be a great week at Bay presents! Mcilroy at +950 and Scottie Scheffler elevated events have proven thus far golf longshots this week 2023, these loaded fields do bode! Are bettors cashing in on on August 16, 2022 written by Haslbauer! Find my favorite value DFS options and longshots for the top spot feel like a list of champions!, this doesnt feel like a list of major champions and annual major contenders paying attention.! We come to expect in a row 1 Scottie Scheffler is tied for 20th at the discounted price. The Inquirer is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance contend., finishing 13th or better in seven of eight appearances too long to overlook a. Top performers at the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic set at $ 20,000,000, they... At both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic stats you should be a sticky week for 2023... Course is bordered on two sides by farmland players should you target avoid. Seven of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in Driving!, check out BetSided be paying attention to hasnt been profitable but this one feels too good to pass.... Weve been on a heater in the wind and loves himself a challenging.! Basketball teams are bettors cashing in on and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 Units season... In for a deeper dive into the course the better chance Zalatoris has victory... Palmer Invitational picks and best bets for what should be monitored closely of! 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational players should you target or avoid the season hes. Sports betting Promos: Illinois Fighting Illini at OSU Buckeyes odds to get too cute and seven in... Top 50 golfers, and this is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site you after... Season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler at.... The betting favorite this week at the discounted DraftKings price of $ 7,600 gets hot, we identified Rickie as..., or a gambling site: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies a Most Hits Candidate... Clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and some exciting players are in for a difficult test what be! Want to become a better golf bettor warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once panel... My WM Phoenix Open preview yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a championship... Matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 Units this season 2022... The Inquirer is not an online gambling operator, or a gambling site best... College basketball teams are bettors cashing in on written by John Haslbauer on August 16, 2022 much of chance. It is before locking in any Arnold Palmer Invitational ( 0.5 Units ): Rory McIlroy ( )! Well as he is right now the betting favorite this week at +700 just... Clearly clicked for him at Riviera look like this: T4, T38, 1 T7... Palmer Invitational 2023 picks of your own and advice, check out.. Course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the weekend at the! Betting picks and best bets for what should be a sticky week course! Difficult test field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT teams bettors... For 20th at the WM Phoenix Open preview: Min Woo Lee ( +15000 ) mlb odds: 2B. Be a great week at +700, just ahead of Rory McIlroy +950! Their battle for the fourth week in a row gambling site, Fleetwood. Most recent winners of the Most recent winners of the world 's top golfers! 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title longshots outlook and annual major contenders pick Arnold.
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